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Friday, May 24, 2013

Topics: Federal Reserve

Economics, Monetary Policy, Pethokoukis

How about a massive tax cut financed by the Fed?

James Pethokoukis | May 21, 2013, 4:29 pm

One criticism of the Fed’s quantitative easing program is that it’s supposedly only helping wealthier Americans. The central bank’s bond buying pushes up the prices of financial assets, which rich folks happen to own a lot of. Now, this criticism … read more >

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Lachman S&P500
Economics, Monetary Policy

Ben Bernanke’s unenviable choice

Desmond Lachman | May 20, 2013, 3:49 pm

One has to pity Ben Bernanke during the remainder of his tenure as head of the Federal Reserve, which is due to terminate in January 2014. For his bold experimentation with unorthodox monetary policy has not worked out quite the … read more >

1
Image Credit: Shutterstock
Economics, Monetary Policy, Pethokoukis

The Bernanke Fed and the non-existent stock market bubble

James Pethokoukis | May 20, 2013, 11:59 am

In nominal terms, the Dow Jones industrial average is up about 30% since January of 2000. Adjusted for inflation, however, it’s more or less flat. To me, that back-of-the-envelope calculation hints that the Fed’s quantitative easing has not created some … read more >

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Credit: Financial Times
Economics, Monetary Policy, Pethokoukis

Look at Japan. Look at the euro zone. And the GOP wants the Fed to be more like the ECB?

James Pethokoukis | May 16, 2013, 11:35 am

Republicans should pay close attention to what’s happening in Japan, where the Bank of Japan’s new bond-buying program is already bearing fruit. As the Financial Times reports, ”Japan’s economy grew at the fastest pace among Group of Seven countries last quarter, … read more >

9
A bronze sculpture of the New York Stock Exchange Bull is seen at the Museum of American Finance in New York October 2, 2008. REUTERS/Shannon Stapleton
Pethokoukis

Will the Fed cause a 1994-style bond market selloff?

James Pethokoukis | May 15, 2013, 1:55 pm

Many skeptics of the Fed’s bond buying policy point to the bond market shellacking of 1994. That year, 10-year rates rose to 7.8% from 5.5% when the Fed started cranking up rates. They worry about a repeat as Team Bernanke … read more >

1
Photo Credit: futureatlas.com/Flickr
Economics, Monetary Policy

If you want to break up the banks, you should want to break up the Fed

Abby McCloskey | May 15, 2013, 12:48 pm

Tracing out the break-up-the-banks logic leads to some uncomfortable places. Alex Pollock’s new American Banker piece shows how the very reasons advocated for breaking up the banks (“they are too big, too leveraged, create too much systemic risk, have too … read more >

2
Credit: Bloomberg
Economics, Monetary Policy, Pethokoukis

Christina Romer: If only the Fed had the nerve of the Bank of Japan

James Pethokoukis | May 14, 2013, 12:36 pm

The Bernanke Fed has made two massive mistakes. First, it “passively tightened” between April 2008 and October 2008 — via hawkish FOMC statements and leaving rates unchanged — as the economy deteriorated. Second, it fell asleep once the worst of the … read more >

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Image Credit: Medill DC (Flickr) (CC BY 2.0)
Economics, Monetary Policy, Pethokoukis

So what would the US economy look like without the Fed’s QE bond buying? Like the EU’s

James Pethokoukis | May 13, 2013, 11:48 am

The economic news out today shows retail sales expanded, in the words of JPMorgan, “solidly” in April, with figures for both February and March revised higher. And last week, the four-week average of jobless claims fell 6,000 to 33,700, the lowest … read more >

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Credit: San Francisco Fed
Economics, Monetary Policy, Pethokoukis

Monetary policy paradox: If the Fed could time travel, could it have prevented itself from being created?

James Pethokoukis | May 7, 2013, 2:08 pm

The San Francisco Fed: The Federal Reserve was created 100 years ago in response to the harsh recession associated with the Panic of 1907. Comparing that recession with the Great Recession of 2007–09 suggests the Fed can mitigate downturns to … read more >

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050313ngdp
Economics, Monetary Policy, Pethokoukis, U.S. Economy

Are financial shocks rare? And if not, then what? Is targeting the path of NGDP the solution?

James Pethokoukis | May 3, 2013, 12:18 pm

It’s been a busy three decades for the US financial system: 1) Banks with exposure to Latin American debt got into big trouble in the 1980s, 2) the 1987 stock market crash, 3) the S&L crisis and bailout, 4) the Russian … read more >

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