2012 campaign | AEIdeas

Thursday, May 23, 2013

Image Credit: Barack Obama Flickr stream

Pethokoukis, Politics and Public Opinion

New GDP report shows economy may have sealed the deal for Obama campaign

James Pethokoukis | December 20, 2012, 9:35 am

For all the talk about Team Obama’s amazing campaign machine, it sure didn’t hurt that the economy turned in a pretty solid performance in the the third quarter. The Commerce Department has upwardly revised third-quarter real GDP to 3.1% from … read more >

Image Credit: Edalisse Hirst (Flickr) (CC BY 2.0)

Politics and Public Opinion, Elections

How Team Obama won, according to the former national deputy director of OFA

Henrik Temp | December 5, 2012, 1:48 pm

While Team Obama’s objectives weren’t particularly revolutionary—get the most votes!—their tactics certainly were. read more >

Pethokoukis, Politics and Public Opinion

Actually, it was the economy that got Obama reelected

James Pethokoukis | December 5, 2012, 10:39 am

Yes, the recovery has been horrible. But it seems that the U.S. economy was just good enough to get President Obama a second term. As AEI’s Kevin Hassett notes over at National Review: Models that predict elections using only economic … read more >

Debate moderator Candy Crowley speaks to the audience before the start of the second U.S. presidential campaign debate in Hempstead, New York, October 16, 2012. REUTERS/Win McNamee/Pool

Society and Culture, Media and Technology, Politics and Public Opinion

Study: No, the mainstream media wasn’t biased… except for the last week of the campaign

Henrik Temp | November 20, 2012, 3:14 pm

Despite cries of mainstream media bias, it turns out that coverage was broadly the same for both presidential candidates this year, except for the final week of the campaign. read more >

Politics and Public Opinion

Team Obama’s revolutionary advertising strategy

Henrik Temp | November 15, 2012, 10:21 am

The Obama campaign has been the first national team to embrace the new era of data-driven politics, and they have done so with gusto. Team Romney, with its pathetic “ORCA” GOTV effort and its dinosaur ad-buying strategy, stands as a warning to future campaigns: Modernize or die. read more >

Image Credit: Gage Skidmore (Flickr) (CC BY-SA 2.0)

Politics and Public Opinion, Elections

Why Romney lost: Obama won the battle of ‘Big Data’

Marc Thiessen | November 8, 2012, 10:48 am

Obama’s ground game was far superior to Romney’s, thanks to an unprecedented experiment in political data mining that allowed the Obama campaign to conduct unprecedented micro-targetting in its fundraising, advertising, and GOTV efforts. read more >

The 2012 Electoral map results as of Wednesday morning. Florida is still too close to call. Map created on Real Clear Politics

Politics and Public Opinion, Elections

4 lessons from last night

Henrik Temp | November 7, 2012, 10:17 am

President Obama has been reelected to the presidency for another four years. In Congress, Republicans held their House majority—with a couple races still to be decided, the Democrats look set to make only small gains. In the Senate, the Democrats … read more >

Image Credit: DonkeyHotey (Flickr) (CC BY-SA 2.0)

Politics and Public Opinion, Elections

Election night live–Update: Obama wins

Henrik Temp | November 6, 2012, 7:59 pm

President Obama has been reelected. Signing off for the night, folks. President Obama has secured enough electoral votes to win reelection. He also looks likely to take Florida and quite possibly Virginia as well. Tomorrow the post-election reflections begin! Election … read more >

The Real Clear Politics electoral map as of 11 AM 11/6/12.

Politics and Public Opinion, Elections

Final polling roundup: What 4 national pollsters are saying on Election Day

Henrik Temp | November 6, 2012, 11:16 am

The final national polls released before election day point to a squeaker of an election. Here’s a rundown of 4 big pollsters and some of their key findings. read more >

Pethokoukis

My 2012 electoral vote map and popular vote predictions

James Pethokoukis | November 5, 2012, 7:03 pm

Based on both polls and reporting, my best guess is that Mitt Romney will be elected the 45th President of the United States, winning the two-party popular vote 51% to 49% and the electoral vote by 301 to 237 for … read more >