Carpe Diem

More Engineering Students in Mexico Than US

When American engineers talk about the need for the U.S. to better compete in the global economy, the discussion almost always centers on two countries: China and India. People rarely mention another country that is geographically closer to the United States: Mexico.

Mexico has quietly been building up its infrastructure over the past decade to educate more engineers and attract companies with advanced engineering design work. Some 451,000 students are currently enrolled in full-time undergraduate engineering programs in Mexico, up 20% since 2000.

American universities enroll 370,000 engineering undergraduates, a number that has barely inched up since 2000, even as the overall number of undergraduates has grown nationwide.

Multinational companies, including GE, Siemens and Honeywell, that once located facilities in Mexico to produce products are now opening up small operations for design and testing work, much of which is done by engineers. GE employs more than 500 engineers at a facility in Querétaro that designs and checks jet engines. Officials there expect to hire another 200 this year.

One reason for the hiring spree? Low salaries. Engineers fresh out of college in Mexico make around $15,000 annually; compare that with their U.S. counterparts, who graduate to $45,000-a-year jobs.

Read more here.

Carpe Diem

From 2% to 3.3% Growth in Real GDP

Economists are upgrading their forecasts for the U.S. economy after a series of surprisingly strong reports suggesting the so-called “soft landing” may be over and growth is accelerating.

Lehman Brothers chief economist Ethan Harris on Friday boosted his forecast for fourth quarter 2006 growth to an annualized rate of 3.3%, a leap from the firm’s prior call for just 2% growth:

“With the last of the major data in, we are now revising fourth quarter GDP to an above-trend 3.3 percent. A wide range of indicators have been stronger than expected. Most important have been the strong consumption data and the surprising improvement in the trade balance.”

Carpe Diem

Outsourcing Health Care Isn’t Always Cheaper

From today’s NY Times (“Company Clinics Cut Health Costs”): “Frustrated by runaway health costs, the nation’s largest employers are moving rapidly to open more primary care medical centers in their offices and factories as a way to offer convenient service and free or low-cost health care.

Within the last two years, companies including Toyota, Sprint Nextel, Florida Power and Light, Credit Suisse and Pepsi Bottling Group have opened or expanded on-site clinics. And many other employers are adding or planning to add even more clinics.

For employees, on-site clinics can mean faster medical attention and lower out-of-pocket costs, since visits are usually free or carry only a small co-payment. For employers, on-site clinics can mean gains in worker productivity and lower health-insurance outlays.”

Seems like win-win. Companies save money on health care costs, employees have access to convenient on-site health care and spend less time away from work for appointments, etc. The traditional practice of “outsourcing” medical care with employer-paid insurance insulates both the employer and the employee from the true costs of medical care, and gives neither much direct control over medical costs. Employer-paid on-site medical care makes everybody more cost conscious.

Carpe Diem

Cartels Aren’t Forever

The diamonds above are real – but they are cultured diamonds that were produced in a laboratory, and might cost up to 75% less than similar diamonds from the DeBeers diamond cartel, and some have fewer flaws than natural diamonds. From today’s WSJ:

“The $143 billion jewelry business — and the would-be fiancés, Valentines and lovers of bling that it caters to — are facing a shakeup. Lab-produced diamonds, once suitable only for industrial use, are being produced with color and clarity that match — or exceed — the quality of diamonds dug out of the earth. These lab-made diamonds have begun trickling into retailers at prices below those for natural diamonds of similar size and sparkle.

The long-term threat to established diamond producers: that mined diamonds could suffer the same fate as naturally occurring pearls. Cultured pearls, made when a small bead is inserted into a mollusk and grown, destroyed the natural pearl industry. Cultured pearls now account for more than 95% of all pearls sold globally, according to estimates by Gem World International, a research firm.”

Read the WSJ article here.

“The larger question is whether lab-grown diamonds will gain acceptance with consumers…..”

Prediction: Given the general acceptance, by both men and women, of breast implants, isn’t the general acceptance of “fake diamonds” probably inevitable? After all, wouldn’t it be irrational behavior to accept synthetic, artificial breasts, but reject synthetic artifical diamonds? Comments welcome.

Carpe Diem

Disney CEO Underpaid?

The WSJ reports that Disney CEO Bob Iger received a $15 million cash bonus and $2 million salary for a first year on the job in which Disney’s earnings and stock price surged.

Mr. Iger, who assumed the top job in October 2005, also received long-term incentive pay of $4 million; 411,000 stock options hypothetically valued at $3 million, and about $666,000 to cover costs including security, personal air travel and car benefit. Mr. Iger also exercised $8 million of expiring options over the period.

Total it all up and it’s about $32 million in compensation. Sounds like a lot, but what happened to Disney’s stock during that time? It went from $23/share in October 2005 to about $35 today (more than a 50% increase), and Disney’s market capitalization went from about $48 billion to $73 billion, an increase of $25 billion in value for shareholders. Iger’s $32 share of the increased $25 billion value for shareholders is about 1/10 of 1% (.13%).

Assuming that Iger played an important role in creating $25 billion of additional shareholder value, it’s not a bad deal for shareholders to pay him only $32 million. For every $1 of CEO pay to Iger, shareholders got $781.25 in increased value, not a bad deal. Perhaps Iger is underpaid?

Thanks to David Boaz at Cato.

Carpe Diem

Economic Week in Review

Summary: This week’s slate of reports brought mixed economic news. Consumer credit soared twice as much as expected in November and retail sales were strong in December. Business inventories increased and the U.S. trade gap narrowed slightly. For the week, the S&P 500 Index rose 1.6% to 1,431. The 10-year U.S. Treasury yield rose 13 basis points to 4.77%, and the average 30-year fixed rate mortgage rose 5 basis points to 5.75%.

Read more details here.

Carpe Diem

Union Productivity Gap (neg) AND Pay Gap (pos)

According to the Harbour Report, the productivity gap between unionized autoworkers and non-unionized autoworkers has narrowed recently to “only” 7.33 hours per vehicle in 2006, measured by total labor hours per vehicle.

As recently as 1998, the productivity gap was almost 17 hours between unionized GM and Chrysler autoworkers, and nonunionzed Toyota, Honda and Nissan autoworkers according to Harbour.

In 1998, Jim Harbour said that “GM still trails the pack in most key labor productivity areas. If it were as efficient as Toyota’s benchmark operations, it would not need the equivalent of 40,000 extra workers.” (And that doesn’t include the thousands of idle UAW workers in the “jobs bank.”)

Think about it. Unionized autoworkers are more expensive than non-unionized autoworkers and significantly less productive. Should it be any surprise that GM and Ford are losing money and contracting, and Toyota and Honda are making money and expanding?

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