The New York Post headline reads: “Census ‘faked’ 2012 election jobs report.” And here is the gist from reporter-columnist John Crudele:
In the home stretch of the 2012 presidential campaign, from August to September, the unemployment rate fell sharply — raising eyebrows from Wall Street to Washington.
The decline — from 8.1 percent in August to 7.8 percent in September — might not have been all it seemed. The numbers, according to a reliable source, were manipulated.
And the Census Bureau, which does the unemployment survey, knew it.
Just two years before the presidential election, the Census Bureau had caught an employee fabricating data that went into the unemployment report, which is one of the most closely watched measures of the economy.
And a knowledgeable source says the deception went beyond that one employee — that it escalated at the time President Obama was seeking reelection in 2012 and continues today.
Specifically, Crudele mentions the employee fudging the data in the Philadelphia region (which somehow would have significantly distorted the national number). But in that September jobs report, the jobless rate for Pennsylvania actually rose:
The state’s jobless rate increased slightly in September as more people started job searches, the Pennsylvania Department of Labor and Industry said on Friday. The seasonally adjusted jobless rate was 8.2 percent in September, up from 8.1 percent in August.
Indeed, the big drops that month were nowhere near the two regions — the Philly and New York area — where Census had a low success rate in its interviews, suggesting that employees may have “filled the gap with fake interviews” (though the article assumes those fakes must have been in favor of Obama).
And then there is this from Gallup, which would tend to support the Labor Department: