Politics and Public Opinion

Health care repeal: What you may have missed in the polls

Image Credit: Shutterstock

Image Credit: Shutterstock

In a letter to Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid, Senator Mike Lee and a dozen of his Republican colleagues wrote that they “believe[d] the only way to avert disaster is to fully repeal Obamacare and start over with a more sensible, practical approach to reforming our healthcare system.” They plan to vote against a continuing resolution that funds further implementation or enforcement of Obamacare. How much support is there for repeal and starting over?

Views on the law: Most polls show that more Americans disapprove of Obamacare than approve. In a June Gallup poll, for example, 52% disapproved while 44% approved. In a July NBC News/Wall Street Journal poll, 34% said Barack Obama’s health care plan was a good idea and 47% a bad one. In the July CBS News poll, 36% approved, while 54% disapproved. The Kaiser Family Foundation asks people about the strength of their feelings, and around 30% in monthly surveys since April 2010 say they have very unfavorable views of the law. Only 15% now have very favorable views. But disapproval does not equal repeal or starting over. On this point, the polls are more complicated.

Consequences: In the NBC/WSJ poll, 45% said that if Republicans in Congress believe the health care law is harmful and will have negative consequences for individuals, small business, and the economy they should continue to do everything they can to prevent it from being put into effect, while 51% said now that Obamacare is the law and the Supreme Court has upheld it, that Republicans should stop trying to block it and move on to other priorities. In a Fox News July poll of registered voters, 40% said that if they were given the opportunity to vote, they would vote to keep it in place, while 53% said they would vote to repeal.

Congressional action: In the CBS poll, when asked what they would like Congress to do about the law, 20% said expand it, 16% keep the entire law as it is, 18% repeal the part of the law that requires Americans to obtain health insurance, but keep the rest of the law intact, while 39% wanted to repeal the entire law.

Fox has asked a four-part question, too, and finds similar results in its latest poll from June. In it, 19% wanted to leave the law as it is, 17% expand it, 19% repeal parts of it, and 39% repeal all of it. The “leave as is” and “expand” responses have been remarkably stable in the nine earlier identical questions.

Our bottom line
: Based on close readings of hundreds of polls on health care, we believe that somewhere between 30% and 40% are probably hard supporters of repeal.

9 thoughts on “Health care repeal: What you may have missed in the polls

  1. re: ” 20% said expand it, 16% keep the entire law as it is, 18% repeal the part of the law that requires Americans to obtain health insurance, but keep the rest of the law intact, while 39% wanted to repeal the entire law.”

    20 + 16 + 18 = 54% –

    in other words – people want something done – not nothing done.

    we have a “marketplace” of “ideas” for health care.

    the ideas that appeal to the most people will win.

    but you can’t win by being opposed to the current proposals.

    • Captain moron, as we have instructed you before, keep your fat yap shut when analyzing poll results.

      The Fox drill-down poll is the most instructive, with “repeal” part or all winning well over half (57%), roughly in-line with favorable/unfavorable surveys. People do not want this law.

      Even *if* people wanted something done, we have a democratic process for that, and that was breached in passing this offensive piece of shit law, supported only by ignoramuses like you.

      Obamascare has no legal or legislative legitimacy, even more so given Obama’s own flouting of the employer mandate.

      • 1st of all, what is wrong with his math ?
        39% say repeal all, 54% say repeal only mandate, or keep or expand law
        seems like a vote of confidence for aca
        what, exactly, is it about this law that drives conservatives over the edge ?
        honestly, I’ve never gotten it – i’m not trolling; i honestly don’t understand the special hatred for this law.
        even if it has some bad spots, don’t you agree that allowing *working* americans to get health insurance has some benefit – as shown by the large number of people who tried to sign up october 1 ??
        if you object is gov’t exspansion, why not equal or more hatred for no child left behind, or the bush/obama exspansion of domestic spying in the NSA ??

        i really don’t get it

  2. Thank you for this post.

    It’s great news that Americans continue to be opposed to the law. However, I wonder how far they’d go, with respect to the Continuing Resolution?

    Some ultramontanists would “shut down the government” in order to force repeal of Obamcacare. However, I suspect that such an approach would go way too far for the median voter.

    Also, some of those who oppose Obamacare are single-payer extremists.

  3. The Democrats completely anticipated that Republicans would attempt to thwart 0bamacare.

    Consequently, they front loaded all of the monies required to bring it into being.

    Nothing the House does will stop it on the revenue front.

    The grand scheme is, like amnesty, a route towards a one-party state.

    Barry grew up in one-party environments: Hawaii, Chicago, Boston, Indonesia.

    0bamacare is a clone of the decades old Hawaii healthcare legislation. By the time it was ruled unconstitutional, it had become so entrenched that it was jiggered past the courts objections.

    What Barry never calculated (he’s innumerate, BTW) is that Hawaii is able to tolerate that whacky health law because it’s propped up by the Department of Defense and the tourist industry. In sum: it’s a dependency state.

    The rest of the nation can’t survive as a global dependent.

    He’s destroying the Democrat party, too. When the currency crisis comes, EVERY single Democrat New Deal / Great Society scheme will go off the rails.

    In all the hand wringing: don’t forget that he’s smithed an edifice that CAN’T be financed.

    America is in a Blue Bubble — much more epic than the CRA Policy housing bubble.

  4. All members of the House and Senate (and all pundits)
    should be required to read the bill. I wonder if any
    have so far. (I did read the original on-line version.
    I conclude that anyone who has read it cannot possibly
    be for it.) Why hasn’t this been done? And who
    actually wrote the darn thing? I don’t believe our
    congressmen did.

    • specific example, svp ?
      and don’t forget to balance the good with the bad; surely, community rating, or ban on lifetime coverage caps are good things ?

  5. What is the result if you ask people about community rating (no denial due to pre existing condition) or the no lifetime benefit cap, or college grad children on your family plan..
    I’m willing ot bet that a majority of republican are in favor, and that in a few years, we will see “keep your gov’t hands off of our obamacare…”
    as a liberal, I encourage you to be antiACA, as I think this will be as good for conservatives as being antiSocial Security

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