The idiocy of “peak oil” and other claims of pending resouce depletion have a long history, dating in many cases back to the 1800s. ”Peak nitwitery” experienced an especially strong revival in the 1960s and 1970s, thanks to Paul Ehrlich and his 1968 book “The Population Bomb.” In a blog post titled “Great Moments in Failed Predictions” at WUWT, Anthony Watts points to a great list assembled by University of Georgia economics professor David Mustard for his course “Economic Development of the US.” Professor Mustard has compiled several dozen claims made over the last 150 years of resouce depletion and other calamities related to population growth and climate change. All of the claims made by Paul Ehrlich and others have been spectacularly wrong, e.g. see the various claims below relating to “peak oil/nitwitery” and mineral depletion.
1. In 1885, the US Geological Survey announced that there was “little or no chance” of oil being discovered in California. In 1891, it said the same thing about Kansas and Texas.
2. In 1939 the US Department of the Interior said that American oil supplies would last only another 13 years.
3. 1944 federal government review predicted that by now the US would have exhausted its reserves of 21 of 41 commodities it examined. Among them were tin, nickel, zinc, lead and manganese.
4. In 1949 the Secretary of the Interior announced that the end of US oil was in sight.
5. In 1974, the US Geological Survey announced “at 1974 technology and 1974 price” the US had only a 10-year supply of natural gas.
For the full list of failed predictions, go here.
HT: Joe Lais