Politics and Public Opinion

The Santorum Surge: Using tax policy as pro-family, pro-natalism social policy

Now that Rick Santorum is surging in the Iowa GOP caucus polls, I thought it would be a good time to look at his economic plan. He markets it as “Made in America: Empowering American Families, Building Economic Freedom.” Unlike frontrunner Mitt Romney’s 59-point plan, this one has 31 points, many of which are standard Republican fare—repeal Obamcare, cut the corporate tax rate, etc. But there are a few interesting differences:

1. Cut and simplify personal income taxes by cutting the number of tax rates to just two – 10 percent and 28 percent, returning to the Reagan era pro-growth top tax rate. | This suggests the 1986 tax reform act. Certainly slashing that top rate would be pro-growth, especially considering it is currently headed to 40 percent or higher. And I like the idea of creating a “Reagan ceiling” on tax rates. But Santorum’s top rate would be higher than what Rick Perry and Newt Gingrich want, and also higher than the 25 percent rate found in Paul Ryan’s budget plan.

4. Lower the Capital Gains and Dividend tax rates to 12 percent to spur economic growth and investment. | You tax what you don’t want. We want more investment in America. So any move to reduce investment taxes—which are double taxes, really—is a good one. The current rate is 15 percent, headed to 20 percent in 2013. A zero rate would be better, but I’ll certainly take 12 percent to help reduce the tax code’s bias against investment.

5. Reduce taxes for families by tripling the personal deduction for each child. | Santorum here presents a completely different view of tax reform than the one offered by many economists and the recent Bowles-Simpson deficit commission, which is to lower tax rates and eliminate tax deductions in the name of growth and efficiency. This is also how supply-siders view tax reform. Santorum and many conservatives, however, think tax reform should address the ­distortions and burdens the current code imposes on American families. As economist Robert Stein wrote a few years back in National Affairs:

In particular, it is time to rethink how the tax code treats ­parents. Too many free-market economists still consider families an afterthought — ­arguing that the tax code should be “neutral” about raising children, as if parenting were merely one hobby among many. But raising children is hardly just another pastime: It is one of the most important services any American can perform for our country.

Even if we ignore the societal and cultural implications of parenting and consider economic factors alone, no government — especially not a government committed to an entitlement system like ours — can be neutral toward the very existence of future generations of taxpayers. Our nation’s long-term economic prospects are threatened by a declining fertility rate that, if it remains constant, will only barely manage to replace our current population. And even as Social Security and Medicare depend on large numbers of future workers, they have created an enormous fiscal bias against procreation, undermining an important motive for raising children: to safeguard against poverty in old age. …

To correct for this inadequate treatment of households with ­children, the existing dependent exemption for children, the child credit, the ­child-care credit, and the adoption credit should be replaced with one new $4,000 credit per child that can be used to offset both income and payroll taxes. (This amount is set much closer to the $3,250 figure than the $8,500 one mostly to reduce the plan’s negative impact on federal revenue.)

Some economists would justify this sort of pro-natalist policy by saying it allows parents to recapture more of their economic investment in children, which is only fair since they are providing a tremendous benefit to society by birthing, raising, and training its future. And perhaps it would also boost birth rates. (Another suggestion by some economists is reducing the payroll tax on parents depending on how many kids they have.) The politics are smart, too, since the plan would directly impact middle-class families and not just entrepreneurs and business.

6. Reduce and simplify taxes for families by eliminating marriage tax penalties throughout the federal tax code. | Again, more pro-family tax policy by Santorum.

7. Retain deductions for charitable giving, home mortgage interest, healthcare, retirement savings, and children. | Again, Santorum would keep tax breaks targeted at families, especially those that affect charities (including churches) and children. Tax policy as social policy.

9. Eliminate the corporate income tax for manufacturers—from 35 percent to 0 percent—which will spur middle income job creation in the United States and will create a job multiplier effect for workers. | While Santorum would cut the tax in half overall—from 35 percent to 17.5 percent—he would eliminate it for companies that make stuff here in America. In other words, not for banks and not for companies that move their research centers to China and India.

10. Spur innovation in America by increasing the Research & Development Tax Credit from 14 percent to 20 percent and make it permanent. | Many right-of-center economists would prefer just lowering the tax rate and getting rid of these sorts of industrial policy-like tax breaks.

Bottom line: Santorum has one of the most politically and economically cohesive policy plans in the GOP field. He wants to help middle-class families and sees tax policy as a way of directly doing that, beyond trying to boost GDP growth. It’s more populist-conservative in many ways than pure free-market/libertarian, the latter of which seems to more reflect the Tea Party trend in GOP economic policy. Not something a Wall Street or Ivy League economist would cook up, certainly. And supply-side economics is about altering incentives to boost growth (and incomes and jobs), not altering fertility rates to boost human capital or easing the tax burden on families. No matter Santorum’s political fate, his ideas may gain further traction on the right as some policymakers and wonks see the limits of an economic approach geared almost exclusively around lowering marginal tax rates and cutting spending.

3 thoughts on “The Santorum Surge: Using tax policy as pro-family, pro-natalism social policy

  1. A 28% federal tax rate is much too high.

    When you add in the 7% state tax, sales taxes on at least half of the remaining income for families, which adds about 4%, then add in real estate taxes and the many, many hidden taxes in the form of taxes, licenses, fees, special assessments, traffic tickets generated by cameras (triggered by very short green-to-yellow-to-red lights), death taxes, etc., etc. you are taking more than half of a families income and allowing the government to waste much of it.

    A total cumulative burden of taxes and fees in excess of 50% is confiscatory and damages the country and the people.

    The maximum total cumulative cost of all federal, state and local taxes and fees should never exceed 25%. Cut to this level of taxation and you will see such a massive surge of growth in this country that tax revenues will likely quadruple.

    The founding fathers should have placed in Article 2 of the Constitution a cap on federal taxes at 12% of net income, with a companion clause in Section 7 thereof which would have prevented congress from passing bills which would require revenues in excess of the revenues collected in the prior three years, once the Nation had reached the age of three.

    They should also have limited the power of state and local entities from assessing or collecting taxes in excess of 8% total for all such taxes and fees combined.

    Further, they should have barred taxing the income of domestic corporation which is derived from goods and services produced within the USA and its territories, since such taxes become hidden taxes on the consumer when they are passed on to the consumer in the price of such goods and services.

    Further, they should have imposed a total ban on death taxes at any level of government. The money remaining in any person’s estate has already been taxed to death while that person was alive and earning it.

    An Amendment to the Constitution to this effect would be a step in the right direction, and would create rapid growth in our economy and a vast increase in opportunities for Americans.

  2. Is Santorum proposing a deduction, or a credit? If the child tax deduction/credit exceeds a family’s tax liability, are they paid the difference by the government, i.e. the rest of us taxpayers? Conservatism also means exercising responsibility in your life decisions.

  3. The founding fathers did not allow income taxes. The money we earn is each individual’s capital not profit. We exchange our labor for money. What is taxable is profit we make from that money: investments, interest on savings, the profit made on a small business created on the side. The 16th amendment allowed (but did not require) the federal govt to tax income supposedly because we needed the $$ to pay for the war. Federal income tax is not a requirement & there ought not be any federal income tax. The states were supposed to tax the citizens & then pay for federal programs (of course the 17th amendment changed all of that). The federal govt was not supposed to have a direct income stream from the people; the founding fathers had each experienced being taxed by the king & didn’t want to create a similar situation here.

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